Saturday, 8 December 2007

On Pr. Putin's victory and what this signifies for the rest of the world

Introduction
Last Sunday Russians voted in general parliamentary elections, in which Pr. Putin achieved a landslide victory. This didn’t surprise anyone; everyone knew that “United Russia”, the party which placed Pr. Putin’s name at the head of its list, was going to win; and everyone knew that this victory would be a great one.

But what was the reaction of the West and
of the western media? President Bush avoided offering congratulations to Pr. Putin, expressing his concerns about the results of the poll. The EU expressed its scepticism – if not its doubts – as well. The Western media attributed his victory to a considerable extent to the Russian media, which are said to be linked to the Kremlin. And all of them have joined their reservations with the accusations of the Russian Communist Party, whose leader said that the election had been "the toughest and least democratic" ever held in post-Soviet Russia.


Possible explanation for West's polemic against Pr. Putin and evaluation of it
But why all this polemic? Why does the West appear to be that much concerned? “Because all these accusations are grounded on real facts”, could anyone answer spontaneously. And it is true that the processes followed in the poll could enable a falsification of the results, in case someone wanted to do so.

However, there are a few annoying facts, which raise questions about the real intentions of all these, who say that they are "sceptical", as far as the results of the elections are concerned.
For example, what about the first election of Mr. Bush to the Presidency of the USA? Shall we remember what happened with Florida’s results? Did any of the European countries hurry to express any concerns at all? Where was the “democratic sensitivity” of EU? On the other hand, what about Mr. Berlusconi? Owner of TV channels which broadcast on a national network in Italy, he has become twice Prime Minister of his country. Did the US administration express any reservations about the fairness of the results? I believe that these two examples show in a most obvious way that double standards are being used in here. And only this fact should be enough to raise questions about the real cause of the West’s reaction towards Pr. Putin’s victory.

But if the previous are enough to raise questions about the real motives of those whose “democratic strings” have been touched, the following is enough to raise questions about the fairness of the accusations themselves.

Let us examine the result of the elections. It is a fact that “United Russia” won around 64% of the votes. It is true that in the rest of the European countries such results are not very common. However, all opinion polls before 2 December were giving to “United Russia” a rate ranging between 62% and 67%. And in the end, the percentage “United Russia” got was within the aforementioned range. In my opinion, this proves that Pr. Putin neither had a reason to falsify the results, nor did he so. Because someone falsifies the results in order to get a rate higher than what he would normally get. In our case, Pr. Putin didn’t get a higher rate. Hence, I feel that these efforts to raise questions over the results, they simply misfire.


The real reasons of West's polemic against Pr. Putin
So, why this entire attempt to discredit Pr. Putin? Why all this polemic? My answer is straightforward: “Because he is a considerable obstacle to the aspiration of the West to world supremacy and he questions the US hegemony”.

And I am not exaggerating at all, when I am talking like that. Mr. Bolton, the former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, was very clear: “
There is no such thing as the UN. There is only the international community, which can only be lead by the only remaining superpower, which is the United States”. Equally clear was Pr. Putin two months ago: “I consider that the unipolar model is not only unacceptable but also impossible in today’s world. And this is not only because if there was individual leadership in today’s – and precisely in today’s – world, then the military, political and economic resources would not suffice. What is even more important is that the model itself is flawed because at its basis there is and can be no moral foundations for modern civilisation.” To those who favour the idea that the use of force can be also legitimate when the decision is taken by either the NATO or the EU, his answer was equally clear: “We have different points of view... The use of force can only be considered legitimate if the decision is sanctioned by the UN. And we do not need to substitute NATO or the EU for the UN.” The opposition between Pr. Putin’s policy and the objectives of the West (and in particular of the USA) is obvious.

That is exactly what bothers the West. Unlike his predecessor, who dragged Russia’s name in the mud, he is determined to follow an independent foreign policy. Because, let’s face it, today’s Russia is not Yeltsin’s faltering state. It has recovered to a considerable extent and it realises that it cannot remain a mere “satellite” of the West. And the credit is all due to Pr. Putin.

He used a low profile in order not to draw the attention of the US, which were dedicated to impose themselves on the rest of the world; and this way he bought time in order to achieve great changes. Aided by the circumstances – the increased need for energy on a global scale – he used the money which started coming into Russia in order to give a fresh impulse to the economy of his country – the very sector which really ensures power; and it seems that he has succeeded. For one more time, Russia is standing on its feet again.

However, this time things are not as they were before. Today’s Russia is not the old communistic USSR, which was trying to impose its ideology onto the others. On the contrary, it has abandoned ideology, imperial and any other great designs, in favour of pragmatism and common sense. And when Pr. Putin states that “it is necessary to make sure that international law has a universal character both in the conception and application of its norms” (a point of view, the moral basis of which cannot be denied) he exposes the US foreign policy. And that’s the problem in here. The war in Iraq has greatly damaged – if not completely ruined – the image of the USA. And what was in the past the advantage of US foreign policy, when US would appear to be the protectors of democracy, freedom and international law (although this is not that much close to the truth), now it has been lost.

And there is more. Europe is realising more and more that is has common interests with Russia. The co-operation between the EU and Russia on the field of energy becomes tight more and more; and this is happening although the economic regression that EU faces lately may raises fears that this may render Europe dependant on Russia as far as the energy supply is concerned. Needless to say that such scenarios are most worrying for the US; because on the one hand a co-operation on the field of energy may lead to a co-operation on the political field; and on the other hand such a co-operation on the field of energy does not serve the objectives of the US at all, which are trying to control the global economy by controlling the energy recourses.

That’s why the West, and especially the USA, is trying to discredit Pr. Putin’s victory, by presenting him as someone who is undemocratic. And this particular accusation has a very particular objective. Because, on the one hand we reserve for ourselves the right to be called “the democratic free world”; and on the other hand we present Pr. Putin as undemocratic – in other words, as being against democracy. Thus, with this sleight, we are trying to present Pr. Putin as a potential threat against the West. And this is just because he does not consent to the will of the West to dominate on all the others.


The message of the Russian ballot
But no matter what the West says, no matter how much it criticises the Russian Presi
dent, Pr. Putin enjoys the confidence of the vast majority of the Russian people; and in contrast to this, it seems that the Russians do not trust much the rhetoric of the West. And this can be most readily seen in the message the Russian ballot sends. So, let us examine the results of the elections and let us attempt to decipher the message this poll sends.

A first stinking observation is that all the parties which were backed by the West, they have completely failed; none of them got more than 2%. A second observation is that of the four parties which have entered the Duma (i.e. the lower house of the Federal Assembly of Russia) only the Communist Party opposes Pr. Putin. The other three parties, which have won approximately the 80% of the votes, support the policy of the Russian President.

Bearing these in mind, we can see that the Russian people say in a most clear way two simple things: First, they support Pr. Putin’s policy. And this shouldn’t be a surprise, since thanks to his policy Russia has managed to recover to a considerable extent. Second, they do not want the West to interfere in their domestic issues. And this is the price the West pays for its lack of insight, since its policy has never been very friendly towards Russia – even after the Russia’s transition to the free market economy.


The need for a change in West's foreign policy. Suggestions for the future

Based on these facts, I think it would be wise for the West to think again about whether it should continue its efforts to destabilise Pr. Putin. Because the West shouldn’t examine only how to get rid of Pr. Putin, whose policy is an obstacle to its objective; it should also examine what will happen if Pr. Putin is removed. Whom do we prefer on the steer of Russia? Do we prefer the ultra-nationalist Zhirinovsky? Or do we prefer the Communists?

So, what should be done from now on? I guess it would be a good thing, if the West starts to accepting reality and re-adjusting its policy according to it. Russia cannot always have as presidents people like Yeltsin; and Pr. Putin is far from being a “copy” of Pr. Yeltsin. And Russia itself has also changed: it is standing on its feet again. And this requires a re-examination of our policy towards Russia, and our foreign policy in general.


It is obvious that ways of thinking like the one expressed by Ambassador Bolton are not realistic any more. The unipolar model is not practicable any more. Therefore, we have no other choice but accepting the model of a multi-polar world. And we all must do our best in order for this model to work this time.

To this end, I believe that “Old Europe” (about which vice President Cheney and Secretary Rumsfeld used to talk with so much disdain) could be proven very useful. Because based on it own experience, it can propose a new way in global politics.

Just look into our history: For centuries the European countries have been fighting each other. Blood has been shed; human lives have been lost; countries have been devastated. And in the end, all of these countries have become weaker. Their pursuit for supremacy has rendered them weaker.

But this is not the case any more. The opposition has given its place to co-operation. The European Economic Community has already been transformed to a Union and it may end up as Confederation – or even a Federation – in the future. And in all these Formations are taking part not only countries who had been allies; they also participate countries like France and Germany, which have been fighting each other for centuries. And all the European countries, in this multi-polar Union, we are all working together, all of us sharing the same vision for a brighter peaceful future. I do not know, but it seems that the “Old Europe” has still enough to teach the rest of the world. What do you think?

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Great Victory? If one arrests the opposition, locks them in mental hospitals, forbids demonstrations and controls most of the media, in western views it fails to be great. Yes the margin was great. It is how you play the game not how big you win it. And the Florida reference is even weaker. Florida was settled in a court of law not by the canidate's control. All the recounts from third parties prove Bush fairly won. This type of checks and balances is what the west sees lacking in this "great" victory.

The west does not want to destabilize any Russian. I believe it is good to question it. If one reads any paper outside U.S. it certianly is filled with questions about the U.S. Is that what this MultiPolar world you talk of is about? It should hold everyone accountable not just U.S.

I believe this victory destabilzes Putin and not the western questioning of it. Putin is popular and seems to be a great leader. Why does he need to hedge any victory? Didn't he know the whole world would carefully examin it. Is he going to put me in a mental hospital too? Putin lost this one.

Akestor said...

I will not say much about the United States presidential election in Florida, 2000, because this is not the topic of this post. However, it might be a not bad idea for someone to take a look at what is written in Wikipedia, in “United States presidential election in Florida, 2000”. He will find many pieces of real beauty. In any case, I will not say anything more about this in here since, as I have already said, this is not the topic of the present post.

I am coming to the topic of this post, in which I have said (among other things) that it seems there is a polemic against Pr. Putin and that the doubts expressed by the West regarding the results of the recent elections in Russia are a part of this polemic.

I will begin with the last paragraph of Blogconfederation’s comment, in which he is asking: “Why does he need to hedge any victory?” My comment is that there is a problem in this question: this question can be made only if we take for granted that the results of the elections were falsified. In my post I am saying: “someone falsifies the results in order to get a rate higher than what he would normally get. In our case, Pr. Putin didn’t get a higher rate. Hence, I feel that these efforts to raise questions over the results, they simply misfire.” Consequently, if Blogconfederation still believes that the results have been manipulated, he should provide us a logical explanation. Therefore, his question should have been addressed to himself, and answered by himself.

The other issue I would like to examine is Blogconfederation’s opinion, that Pr. Putin’s victory should be attributed to his “tactic” to “arrest the opposition, lock them in mental hospitals, forbid demonstrations and control most of the media”.

I have already said my point of view about the accusations regarding the control of most of the media; I will not come to this topic again. However, I do not deny it, I was shocked when I heard about commitments to mental hospitals.

For this reason, I made a little research on the net. I wanted to learn too about what Blogconfederation was talking about. So, here is what I have found till now.

To begin with, I guess that Blogconfederation wrote his comment, bearing in mind the incident regarding Artem Basyrov. Whoever wants to find information about this incident, he can check in Associated Press’ site, from which the other media have copied and pasted this report. (Even the Russian Pravda has copied and pasted this report from Associated Press!). The title of the article is “Russian Dissenter Put in Psych Hospital”, and it is written by Mike Eckel.

In this article, we are informed that an opposition activist was enclosed to a mental hospital before a government protest. We also read that this is the latest in a series of similar incidents, reminding of the Soviet-era. And, of course, I cannot deny it: this is really scaring!

Never the less, there are a couple of little things, that – it seems – have escaped the attention of this good reporter; or he may have considered them as “insignificant” and for this reason he does not say much about them. So, let’s see what the good reporter “forgot” to say.

First of all: who is Mr. Basyrov? Let us see what is written in Pravda, regarding Mr. Basyrov: “A member of Russian oppositional National Bolshevik Party said that his mate was committed to a psychiatric hospital before government protests”. So, the next question is: “What is the National Bolshevik Party”? If you check in Wikipedia about this party, in the section “Political Programme” here it is what you will read: “The party believes in the creation of a grand empire that will include the whole of Europe and Russia to be governed under Russian dominance” (sic). So, this is the activist we are talking about! And this is the opposing party we are talking about!

And about the demonstrations of the opposition which were forbidden: I guess that Mr. Eckel is talking either about the demonstrations of the National Bolshevik Party (which I have already referred to) or about the demonstrations of “the Other Russia”. So, what about them?

We have already examined “National Bolshevik Party”. Let us examine “The Other Russia”. Shortly said, it is a coalition, which brings together a wide variety of political formations and individual citizens. This is not surprising. But, what is really surprising, it is the kind of the political formations and politicians that participate in this coalition. Because not only participate representatives from political and human rights movements; there also participate parties like the “National Bolshevik Party”; or the “People Democratic Union”, the leader of which is known as "Misha Two Percent", due to allegations that he charged a two percent commission in return for turning a blind eye to bribes and illegal business ventures whilst working at the finance ministry between 1993 and 1999; or and far-left Vanguard of Red Youth. And, of course, if this is the kind of politicians, whom the aforementioned human right movements are associated with, this raises also questions about the kind of these movements themselves.

However, just in order to be fair with Mr. Eckel, I must admit that the case of Mr. Andrei Novikov, a reporter for a news service connected with Chechen separatist government, seems to be suspicious. But on the other hand, it is not equally clear whether the case of Mrs. Larisa Arap is a purely political one or not.

In any case, and just in order to return where I began from, I am wondering: is Blogconfederation still absolutely sure about what he said? Does he still believe that we are dealing with a “Czar” who is suppressing the “poor democratic opposition” of his homeland? I do not know; but it is kind of hard for me to characterise parties like the “National Bolshevik Rarty” or the “Vanguard of Red Youth” as “Pillars of Democracy”. What does he think?

Anonymous said...

Thank you for your reply. The oppositions parties listed are correct and not much opposition at all. THAT IS MY POINT. There was no real opposition. This is why the western view may consider this election questionable on our terms.Why is he afraid of opposition? There is no "polemic." So much so, I never heard the word before and had to look it up.

This is the kind of open debate both west and east should always have and not the polemic junk filling the web. Thank you.

Akestor said...

Call me an idiot, but I really cannot understand Blogconfederation’s point. On the one hand he says that Pr. Putin won because he “arrests the opposition, locks them in mental hospitals, and forbids demonstrations”; which means that there exists an opposition. On the other hand he says, “there is no real opposition.” So, which one is true? In any case, one thing is for sure: it is impossible for something to exist and not to exist at the same time. Hence, I believe that Blogconfederation’s point of view is contradictory.

Alternatively, it would be argued that there is no real opposition due to Pr. Putin’s practice (as alleged by Blogconfederation) to suppress the opposition. In this case, I have the right to ask: what does Blogconfederation has on his mind? Which articles has he read, which reports is he taking under consideration when he says so? Who are the members of the opposition who have been committed? The ban of which demonstrations is he talking about? Because, apart from the cases I presented in my previous comment, Blogconfederation hasn’t brought any example to support his point of view. (Besides, if I got him right, when he is talking about “not real opposition” he is talking about the “Other Russia” and the “National Bolshevik Party”. No?)

So, is it only me who can’t understand Blogconfederation’s point of view?